The Earth Record

The long view

One panel per indicator: year by year over the whole record, and month by month for the last two years. The daily pages show what happened on a day; this page shows where it sits in history. Updated once a day.

Are earthquakes becoming more common?

6,345earthquakes of magnitude 4.5 or more in 2026 so farAbout usual

Year by year, magnitude 4.5+

05k10k1973: 3k1974: 3.1k1975: 3.3k1976: 3.6k1977: 3.6k1978: 3.3k1979: 3.3k1980: 3.5k1981: 3.3k1982: 3.5k1983: 4.1k1984: 4.1k1985: 4.5k1986: 4.5k1987: 4k1988: 4k1989: 4k1990: 4.4k1991: 4.1k1992: 4.4k1993: 4.2k1994: 4.2k1995: 4.7k1996: 4.7k1997: 4.6k1998: 3.8k1999: 4.1k2000: 5k2001: 4.7k2002: 5k2003: 5.1k2004: 6.2k2005: 7.9k2006: 7.1k2007: 7.3k2008: 6.3k2009: 6.1k2010: 7.2k2011: 9.6k2012: 7.2k2013: 7.2k2014: 8.3k2015: 7.2k2016: 7.4k2017: 6.4k2018: 7.5k2019: 7.2k2020: 6.5k2021: 9k2022: 7.8k2023: 7.6k2024: 6.4k2025: 8.6k2026: 6.3k1973198219912000200920182026

Year by year, magnitude 6+ (the large ones)

01002001973: 931974: 971975: 1061976: 1091977: 851978: 901979: 861980: 951981: 831982: 871983: 1361984: 1331985: 1601986: 1381987: 1661988: 1221989: 1371990: 1531991: 1371992: 1781993: 1481994: 1581995: 2001996: 1641997: 1361998: 1211999: 1352000: 1602001: 1372002: 1392003: 1542004: 1572005: 1502006: 1532007: 1962008: 1792009: 1602010: 1742011: 2072012: 1332013: 1422014: 1552015: 1462016: 1472017: 1102018: 1342019: 1452020: 1212021: 1572022: 1272023: 1472024: 992025: 1452026: 1151973198219912000200920182026

Quarter by quarter, magnitude 4.5+

01k2k'23 Q4: 2.4k'24 Q1: 1.7k'24 Q2: 1.5k'24 Q3: 1.5k'24 Q4: 1.7k'25 Q1: 1.7k'25 Q2: 2.5k'25 Q3: 2.5k'25 Q4: 1.8k'26 Q1: 1.8k'26 Q2: 2k'26 Q3: 1.9k'23 Q4'24 Q2'24 Q4'25 Q2'25 Q4'26 Q3

Month by month, magnitude 4.5+

05001kNov 24: 487Dec 24: 585Jan 25: 655Feb 25: 571Mar 25: 539Apr 25: 600May 25: 595Jun 25: 553Jul 25: 1.3kAug 25: 983Sep 25: 799Oct 25: 756Nov 25: 622Dec 25: 562Jan 26: 618Feb 26: 490Mar 26: 621Apr 26: 683May 26: 520Jun 26: 711Jul 26: 797Aug 26: 777Sep 26: 639Oct 26: 489Nov 24Mar 25Jul 25Nov 25Mar 26Jul 26Oct 26

Since 2000 a typical full year has brought about 6,985 earthquakes of magnitude 4.5 or more and about 149 of magnitude 6 or more. The count of large quakes stays broadly steady from year to year. Much of the rise in the smaller ones since the 1970s comes from better detection, so use the magnitude 6+ chart to judge whether the Earth is getting more active. 2026 is not finished, so its bar is faded.

Source: USGS earthquake catalogue. Magnitude 4.5 and above only, so counts compare fairly across the decades.

Is the Arctic sea ice shrinking?

4.8million km² in September 202636% below 1979–88

Each September, the yearly low point

0358101979: 71980: 81981: 71982: 71983: 71984: 71985: 71986: 71987: 71988: 71989: 71990: 61991: 61992: 71993: 61994: 71995: 61996: 81997: 71998: 71999: 62000: 62001: 72002: 62003: 62004: 62005: 62006: 62007: 42008: 52009: 52010: 52011: 52012: 42013: 52014: 52015: 52016: 52017: 52018: 52019: 42020: 42021: 52022: 52023: 42024: 42025: 52026: 51979198719952003201120192026

Month by month against average, last 24 months

-2.0-1.00.0Nov 24: -1.6Dec 24: -1.5Jan 25: -1.3Feb 25: -1.6Mar 25: -1.3Apr 25: -0.9May 25: -0.8Jun 25: -1.4Jul 25: -1.8Aug 25: -1.8Sep 25: -1.7Oct 25: -2.0Nov 25: -1.9Dec 25: -1.6Jan 26: -1.3Feb 26: -1.2Mar 26: -1.3Apr 26: -1.1May 26: -1.2Jun 26: -1.4Jul 26: -1.8Aug 26: -1.7Sep 26: -1.6Oct 26: -1.5Nov 24Mar 25Jul 25Nov 25Mar 26Jul 26Oct 26

The average of the last ten Septembers is 4.6 million km², against 7.2 million in the first ten years of satellite records (1979–1988), 36% less. The lowest September in the record was 3.6 million km² in 2012. Ice shrinks to its yearly minimum in September.

Source: NSIDC Sea Ice Index, Arctic. Monthly bars show the monthly average minus the 1981–2010 average for that month.

Are the oceans getting warmer?

+1.0°C against the 20th-century average, 2026 so farWarmest on record

Year by year since 1850

0.0+0.5+1.01850: 0.01851: +0.11852: +0.11853: +0.11854: +0.01855: +0.01856: -0.11857: -0.11858: 0.01859: +0.01860: 0.01861: -0.11862: -0.11863: -0.11864: 0.01865: +0.11866: +0.11867: 0.01868: +0.01869: 0.01870: 0.01871: 0.01872: +0.01873: 0.01874: -0.11875: 0.01876: -0.11877: +0.21878: +0.21879: 0.01880: 0.01881: +0.01882: 0.01883: 0.01884: -0.11885: -0.11886: -0.11887: -0.21888: 0.01889: 0.01890: -0.21891: -0.11892: -0.21893: -0.21894: -0.21895: -0.11896: 0.01897: 0.01898: -0.21899: -0.11900: 0.01901: -0.11902: -0.21903: -0.31904: -0.41905: -0.21906: -0.21907: -0.31908: -0.41909: -0.41910: -0.41911: -0.41912: -0.21913: -0.31914: -0.11915: -0.11916: -0.21917: -0.31918: -0.21919: -0.21920: -0.11921: -0.21922: -0.21923: -0.21924: -0.21925: -0.21926: -0.11927: -0.21928: -0.21929: -0.21930: -0.11931: -0.11932: -0.21933: -0.21934: -0.21935: -0.11936: -0.11937: 0.01938: -0.11939: 0.01940: +0.21941: +0.31942: +0.11943: +0.11944: +0.21945: +0.21946: 0.01947: -0.11948: -0.11949: 0.01950: -0.11951: +0.01952: +0.11953: +0.11954: -0.11955: -0.11956: -0.11957: +0.11958: +0.11959: +0.11960: +0.01961: +0.11962: +0.01963: +0.11964: -0.11965: 0.01966: +0.01967: 0.01968: +0.01969: +0.21970: +0.11971: -0.11972: +0.11973: +0.11974: 0.01975: 0.01976: +0.01977: +0.21978: +0.21979: +0.31980: +0.31981: +0.21982: +0.21983: +0.31984: +0.21985: +0.21986: +0.21987: +0.41988: +0.31989: +0.31990: +0.31991: +0.31992: +0.31993: +0.31994: +0.31995: +0.31996: +0.31997: +0.51998: +0.51999: +0.32000: +0.32001: +0.42002: +0.52003: +0.52004: +0.52005: +0.52006: +0.52007: +0.42008: +0.42009: +0.52010: +0.52011: +0.42012: +0.52013: +0.52014: +0.62015: +0.72016: +0.72017: +0.72018: +0.72019: +0.82020: +0.72021: +0.62022: +0.72023: +0.92024: +1.02025: +0.82026: +1.01850188019101940197020002026

Month by month, last 24 months

0.0+0.5+1.0Nov 24: +0.9Dec 24: +0.8Jan 25: +0.9Feb 25: +0.9Mar 25: +0.9Apr 25: +0.8May 25: +0.8Jun 25: +0.8Jul 25: +0.9Aug 25: +0.9Sep 25: +0.8Oct 25: +0.8Nov 25: +0.7Dec 25: +0.8Jan 26: +0.8Feb 26: +0.9Mar 26: +0.9Apr 26: +1.0May 26: +0.9Jun 26: +1.0Jul 26: +1.0Aug 26: +1.1Sep 26: +1.1Nov 24Mar 25Jul 25Nov 25Mar 26Jul 26Oct 26

The three warmest years in this record are 2023, 2024, 2026. 2026 is not finished, so its bar is faded.

Source: NOAA NCEI Climate at a Glance, global ocean temperature anomaly.

What is El Niño doing?

+1.4°C, equatorial Pacific, Jun 2026El Niño conditions

Year by year since 1980

-1.00.0+1.01980: 0.01981: -0.51982: +0.81983: +0.31984: -0.71985: -0.71986: +0.11987: +1.11988: -1.01989: -0.81990: +0.11991: +0.61992: +0.61993: +0.31994: +0.51995: -0.21996: -0.51997: +1.11998: -0.11999: -1.32000: -0.92001: -0.32002: +0.62003: +0.22004: +0.42005: +0.02006: +0.12007: -0.62008: -0.82009: +0.32010: -0.52011: -0.92012: -0.12013: -0.32014: +0.12015: +1.52016: +0.32017: -0.22018: +0.02019: +0.52020: -0.42021: -0.72022: -0.92023: +0.82024: +0.42025: -0.42026: +0.31980198819962004201220202026

Month by month, last 24 months

0.0+1.0Nov 24: -0.2Dec 24: -0.6Jan 25: -0.7Feb 25: -0.4Mar 25: +0.0Apr 25: -0.1May 25: -0.1Jun 25: -0.1Jul 25: -0.1Aug 25: -0.4Sep 25: -0.5Oct 25: -0.5Nov 25: -0.7Dec 25: -0.7Jan 26: -0.6Feb 26: -0.3Mar 26: 0.0Apr 26: +0.3May 26: +0.9Jun 26: +1.4Nov 24Mar 25Jul 25Nov 25Mar 26Jul 26Oct 26

Warm spells in this strip of the Pacific are El Niño and cool ones La Niña. They tend to shift weather around the world. The official three-month index (RONI) last read +1.7 for the period centred on Aug 2026. The monthly feed arrives a few weeks late.

Source: NOAA Climate Prediction Center, Niño 3.4 (ERSSTv5) and the Relative Oceanic Niño Index.

How fast is carbon dioxide rising?

429.3parts per million, 2026 average so farUp 1.8 on 2025

Year by year since 1975

350.0375.0400.0425.01975198419932002201120202026

Month by month, last 24 months

425.0427.5430.0Nov 24Mar 25Jul 25Nov 25Mar 26Jul 26Oct 26

Up about 98 parts per million since 1975. The monthly line rises and falls each year as northern forests grow and fade; the climb underneath it does not stop. Years with many missing days are left out.

Source: NOAA Global Monitoring Laboratory, Mauna Loa.

Is the sea rising?

+103mm since 1993Rising
050199319992005201120172024

Satellites have measured global sea level since 1993. The rise is about 3.3 mm a year on average.

Source: NOAA Laboratory for Satellite Altimetry. Our data ends at 2025-02-16.

Is the ozone hole recovering?

27.1million km², the largest so far in 2026Record: 29.9 in 2000
01020301979: 11980: 31981: 31982: 111983: 121984: 151985: 191986: 141987: 221988: 141989: 221990: 211991: 231992: 251993: 261994: 251996: 271997: 251998: 281999: 262000: 302001: 272002: 222003: 282004: 232005: 272006: 302007: 252008: 272009: 242010: 232011: 262012: 212013: 242014: 242015: 282016: 232017: 202018: 252019: 162020: 252021: 252022: 262023: 262024: 222025: 232026: 271979198719962004201220202026

The hole opens each southern spring. Its yearly peak has levelled off since the 2000s and is expected to shrink slowly as ozone-damaging chemicals fade, but it varies a lot with the weather. 2026 is not finished.

Source: NASA Ozone Watch. Each bar is the largest daily area in that year.